RJ Barrett
Age 26 · 6'6" · 214 lb · Canada
Pick #3, 2019 Draft · Rookie 2020 · 446 games · 23 playoff games
DPM · #86 of 519
+1.3Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker 2001-02 | 25 | +1.3 | +0.6, -1.4, -1.6, -0.7, -1.3 | 89 |
| Joe Johnson 2007-08 | 26 | +1.4 | +2.0, +2.5, +2.2, +2.1, +2.5 | 89 |
| Wally Szczerbiak 2002-03 | 26 | +1.2 | +1.2, +1.2, +1.3, -0.1, -0.4 | 88 |
| Corey Maggette 2005-06 | 26 | +1.5 | +1.2, +1.3, -0.6, -0.9, -1.6 | 88 |
| Hedo Turkoglu 2004-05 | 26 | +0.6 | +0.7, +1.4, +3.0, +2.9, 0.0 | 87 |
| Richard Hamilton 2003-04 | 26 | +1.2 | +1.0, +0.7, +1.1, +1.2, +0.7 | 87 |
| Jason Richardson 2006-07 | 26 | +1.2 | +0.5, +0.2, +1.2, +0.4, +0.5 | 87 |
| Mike Miller 2005-06 | 26 | +1.4 | +0.4, +0.7, -0.1, -0.1, -1.5 | 87 |
| Cuttino Mobley 2000-01 | 25 | +1.2 | +0.8, +0.7, +1.1, 0.0, +0.4 | 86 |
| Malcolm Brogdon 2018-19 | 26 | +1.0 | +1.0, +0.9, +0.5, +0.6, -0.6 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to RJ's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to RJ Barrett's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense +1.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:31.1points8.5rebounds5.6assistsP/R/A100.0
- +1.4DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:31.4points8.5rebounds4.6assistsP/R/A88.9
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:31.2points8.3rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A88.1
- +1.0DPMDPM Offense +2.2 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:34.3points6.1rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A86.8
- +1.0DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.3rebounds4.9assistsP/R/A86.8
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:34.3points10.8rebounds8.0assistsP/R/A85.6
- +1.4DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:28.2points12.4rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A84.5
- +1.9DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:29.9points7.8rebounds7.5assistsP/R/A84.4
- +0.7DPMDPM Offense +2.2 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.0points6.8rebounds7.2assistsP/R/A84.2
- +1.7DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:28.9points5.2rebounds5.2assistsP/R/A84.0
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against RJ Barrett's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $32.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $29.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$3.0M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 6.9
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 6.2
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 33.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | TOR | 26 | 2 | 30.1 | +1.24 | +1.80 | -0.56 | — |
| 2025-26 | TOR | 25 | 57 +7 | 30.3 | +1.13 | +1.81 | -0.68 | 182nd of 1077 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 24 | 58 | 32.2 | -0.94 | +0.35 | -1.29 | 644th of 1185 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 23 | 58 | 31.7 | -1.57 | +0.18 | -1.75 | 724th of 1100 |
| 2022-23 | NYK | 22 | 73 +11 | 33.9 | -1.24 | +0.44 | -1.68 | 463rd of 813 |
| 2021-22 | NYK | 21 | 70 | 34.5 | -0.78 | +0.48 | -1.26 | 210th of 571 |
| 2020-21 | NYK | 20 | 72 +5 | 34.9 | -0.58 | -0.39 | -0.19 | 84th of 354 |
| 2019-20 | NYK | 19 | 56 | 30.4 | -2.89 | -1.36 | -1.54 | 95th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 33.0 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 100.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 31.1 | 21.5 |
| Rebounds | 8.5 | 5.9 |
| Offensive | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| Assists | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.0 | 5.5 |
| FG attempts | 23.0 | 15.9 |
| FT attempts | 8.6 | 5.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.5% · 34.9% · 72.4% | |